DRIFT (VEC)
Direction of 5 / 15 / 30-minute returns. Aligned drift is a vote. Chop is a sit.
Directional Lean: 50 · NeutralNo qualifying directional read right now.Authority unverifiedFull meter ↓ Directional Lean shows research direction and intensity. It is not a probability and not a SATOSHI call.
No Chair row yet — research read only.DRIFT LIVE VEC
ret 5/15/30
0.1s
seeingCHOPreturns WAIT · 1m structure DOWN · RSI 45 · 1m EMA↓ · 5m EMA↑
DIRECTIONAL LEAN50 · Neutral
Authority unverifiedResearch read: NEUTRALStatus: SITStrength: 0Updated: 2026-10-02 12:08:49 UTC · feed 0.1sNo qualifying directional read right now.need 5/15/30 aligned with |ret15| edge → WAIT
DRIFT: Directional Lean 50 of 100, neutral, research read NEUTRAL. Sitting — no direction read.Directional Lean shows research direction and intensity. It is not a probability and not a SATOSHI call.
- ○Research lean
- WAIT
- Confidence
- 0
- Average cents
- —
- 0 graded legs
- Calls
- 0
- Calibration
- 0%
- 0/700 observations
- Selected skill
- SIT · SIT
Dotted underlines open definitions: hover, focus, or tap.
hypothesis
returns WAIT · aligned false · CHOP · 1m structure DOWN
evidence
- 5m 0.15% · 15m -0.04% · 30m -0.05%
- stack false · RSI 45
decision
WAIT · 0 conf · need 5/15/30 aligned with |ret15| edge → WAIT
invalidate if
any horizon flips sign
shadow / paper
shadow DRIFT.chop_sit WAIT
Record
right 331/332 · 100% · Wilson floor 98%
avg +0.6¢ · 481 calls · now WAIT
last twenty graded reads, green right, red wrong
Skills
- aligned_3hLIVE216/216Are 5m/15m/30m returns aligned?
- accel_impulseSHADOW102/102Is the last 5m carrying most of the 15m move (acceleration)?
- decaying_impulseSHADOWungradedIs the 15m move still printing while 5m has gone quiet?
- pullback_in_trendSHADOW356/3655m dip against a 15/30 stack that still has structure?
- mtf_stackSHADOW182/182Do 1m EMA, 5m EMA and 15m return all agree?
- chop_sitSHADOWungradedAre the three horizons mixed with no pullback?
Scoring audit · read only
These rules report signal strength, not a calibrated chance of winning. The legacy value called Brier squares that strength against whether the read was right. A low-strength correct read can therefore receive a large error. Corrected historical probability Brier: MISSING.
Skill reads are graded from the last usable window input. Their quoted-price results and hit rates are separate from the Chair's earlier booked fills. The audit preserves the existing learner and records evidence for a later review.
DRIFT.pullback_in_trend
Legacy signal-score error 0.697787 · 365 scored reads · counters at 2026-10-02 12:08:49.806 UTC
356/365 reads right · +549.0¢ hypothetical net at grading quotes, after fees · not booked profit
Latest counter check: MATCH · 0 directional inputs · KXBTC15M-26OCT020800-00
Input: 2026-10-02 11:59:51.227 UTC · close: 2026-10-02 12:00:00 UTC · recorded: 2026-10-02 12:00:27.297 UTC
8.8 seconds before close · grading permitted · kalshi-result
Neither a selected nor a paper directional input was scored for this skill in this window.
New receipts only. No reconstructed historical probabilities, replaced grades, or automatic promotions.
Read the saved audit receiptsEvery seat is graded on Kalshi's official settlement value after each 15-minute window, on paper. A read is right when the window finished on its side. Nothing here places a live trade. Not financial advice.
