{ "at": "2026-10-02T12:39:58.694Z", "available": true, "start": "2026-09-15T15:45:00.000Z", "recorded_windows": 1594, "receipts": [ { "scope": "last_grading_input_not_booked_entry", "market": { "phase": "MID", "no_ask": 2, "yes_ask": 98, "yes_bid": 98, "yes_mid": 98, "main_fair_yes": 98.36381171725525, "index_fair_yes": 96.4 }, "skills": [ { "id": "DRIFT.pullback_in_trend", "after": { "n": 365, "ev_n": 365, "hits": 356, "ev_sum": 549, "brier_n": 365, "brier_sum": 254.69220000000007 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 365, "ev_n": 365, "hits": 356, "ev_sum": 549, "brier_n": 365, "brier_sum": 254.69220000000007 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" }, { "id": "PULSE.vol_lag_5m", "after": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" } ], "source": "kalshi-result", "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT020830-30", "outcome": "UP", "version": "SKILL_SCORE_AUDIT_V1", "input_at": 1790943936283, "authority": "none", "build_sha": "80a35b16460c2b817221a07e2881294e449e0220", "graded_at": 1790944220361, "close_time": 1790944200000, "seconds_to_close": 263.717, "credit_skip_reason": null, "input_before_close": true }, { "scope": "last_grading_input_not_booked_entry", "market": { "phase": "FINAL", "no_ask": 96, "yes_ask": 4, "yes_bid": 4, "yes_mid": 4, "main_fair_yes": 35.24912521270604, "index_fair_yes": 5 }, "skills": [ { "id": "DRIFT.pullback_in_trend", "after": { "n": 365, "ev_n": 365, "hits": 356, "ev_sum": 549, "brier_n": 365, "brier_sum": 254.69220000000007 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 365, "ev_n": 365, "hits": 356, "ev_sum": 549, "brier_n": 365, "brier_sum": 254.69220000000007 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" }, { "id": "PULSE.vol_lag_5m", "after": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" } ], "source": "kalshi-result", "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT020815-15", "outcome": "DOWN", "version": "SKILL_SCORE_AUDIT_V1", "input_at": 1790943237864, "authority": "none", "build_sha": "80a35b16460c2b817221a07e2881294e449e0220", "graded_at": 1790943329875, "close_time": 1790943300000, "seconds_to_close": 62.136, "credit_skip_reason": null, "input_before_close": true }, { "scope": "last_grading_input_not_booked_entry", "market": { "phase": "FINAL", "no_ask": 98, "yes_ask": 1, "yes_bid": 2, "yes_mid": 1.5, "main_fair_yes": 12.247562184395811, "index_fair_yes": 0.1 }, "skills": [ { "id": "DRIFT.pullback_in_trend", "after": { "n": 365, "ev_n": 365, "hits": 356, "ev_sum": 549, "brier_n": 365, "brier_sum": 254.69220000000007 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 365, "ev_n": 365, "hits": 356, "ev_sum": 549, "brier_n": 365, "brier_sum": 254.69220000000007 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" }, { "id": "PULSE.vol_lag_5m", "after": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" } ], "source": "kalshi-result", "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT020800-00", "outcome": "DOWN", "version": "SKILL_SCORE_AUDIT_V1", "input_at": 1790942391227, "authority": "none", "build_sha": "80a35b16460c2b817221a07e2881294e449e0220", "graded_at": 1790942427297, "close_time": 1790942400000, "seconds_to_close": 8.773, "credit_skip_reason": null, "input_before_close": true }, { "scope": "last_grading_input_not_booked_entry", "market": { "phase": "FINAL", "no_ask": 2, "yes_ask": 98, "yes_bid": 98, "yes_mid": 98, "main_fair_yes": 80.47104147058334, "index_fair_yes": 95.5 }, "skills": [ { "id": "DRIFT.pullback_in_trend", "after": { "n": 365, "ev_n": 365, "hits": 356, "ev_sum": 549, "brier_n": 365, "brier_sum": 254.69220000000007 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 365, "ev_n": 365, "hits": 356, "ev_sum": 549, "brier_n": 365, "brier_sum": 254.69220000000007 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" }, { "id": "PULSE.vol_lag_5m", "after": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" } ], "source": "kalshi-result", "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT020745-45", "outcome": "UP", "version": "SKILL_SCORE_AUDIT_V1", "input_at": 1790941450101, "authority": "none", "build_sha": "80a35b16460c2b817221a07e2881294e449e0220", "graded_at": 1790941506135, "close_time": 1790941500000, "seconds_to_close": 49.899, "credit_skip_reason": null, "input_before_close": true }, { "scope": "last_grading_input_not_booked_entry", "market": { "phase": "FINAL", "no_ask": 98, "yes_ask": 2, "yes_bid": 2, "yes_mid": 2, "main_fair_yes": 47.9414954024974, "index_fair_yes": 3.1 }, "skills": [ { "id": "DRIFT.pullback_in_trend", "after": { "n": 365, "ev_n": 365, "hits": 356, "ev_sum": 549, "brier_n": 365, "brier_sum": 254.69220000000007 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 365, "ev_n": 365, "hits": 356, "ev_sum": 549, "brier_n": 365, "brier_sum": 254.69220000000007 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" }, { "id": "PULSE.vol_lag_5m", "after": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" } ], "source": "kalshi-result", "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT020730-30", "outcome": "DOWN", "version": "SKILL_SCORE_AUDIT_V1", "input_at": 1790940565085, "authority": "none", "build_sha": "80a35b16460c2b817221a07e2881294e449e0220", "graded_at": 1790940613124, "close_time": 1790940600000, "seconds_to_close": 34.915, "credit_skip_reason": null, "input_before_close": true }, { "scope": "last_grading_input_not_booked_entry", "market": { "phase": "MID", "no_ask": 2, "yes_ask": 98, "yes_bid": 98, "yes_mid": 98, "main_fair_yes": 99, "index_fair_yes": 99.8 }, "skills": [ { "id": "DRIFT.pullback_in_trend", "after": { "n": 365, "ev_n": 365, "hits": 356, "ev_sum": 549, "brier_n": 365, "brier_sum": 254.69220000000007 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 365, "ev_n": 365, "hits": 356, "ev_sum": 549, "brier_n": 365, "brier_sum": 254.69220000000007 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" }, { "id": "PULSE.vol_lag_5m", "after": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" } ], "source": "kalshi-result", "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT020715-15", "outcome": "UP", "version": "SKILL_SCORE_AUDIT_V1", "input_at": 1790939431957, "authority": "none", "build_sha": "80a35b16460c2b817221a07e2881294e449e0220", "graded_at": 1790939731893, "close_time": 1790939700000, "seconds_to_close": 268.043, "credit_skip_reason": null, "input_before_close": true }, { "scope": "last_grading_input_not_booked_entry", "market": { "phase": "FINAL", "no_ask": 98, "yes_ask": 2, "yes_bid": 2, "yes_mid": 2, "main_fair_yes": 2.093044232642527, "index_fair_yes": 2.4 }, "skills": [ { "id": "DRIFT.pullback_in_trend", "after": { "n": 365, "ev_n": 365, "hits": 356, "ev_sum": 549, "brier_n": 365, "brier_sum": 254.69220000000007 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 364, "ev_n": 364, "hits": 355, "ev_sum": 548, "brier_n": 364, "brier_sum": 254.11460000000008 }, "observations": [ { "hit": 1, "path": "paper", "side": "DOWN", "credited": true, "ask_cents": 98, "fee_cents": 1, "confidence": 24, "legacy_input": 0.24, "confidence_kind": "signal_strength_not_calibrated_probability", "legacy_net_cents": 1, "legacy_squared_error": 0.5776, "market_side_midpoint": 0.98, "market_squared_error": 0.0004000000000000007, "legacy_quote_fallback": false, "hypothetical_net_cents": 1 } ], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" }, { "id": "PULSE.vol_lag_5m", "after": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" } ], "source": "kalshi-result", "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT020700-00", "outcome": "DOWN", "version": "SKILL_SCORE_AUDIT_V1", "input_at": 1790938621063, "authority": "none", "build_sha": "80a35b16460c2b817221a07e2881294e449e0220", "graded_at": 1790938817543, "close_time": 1790938800000, "seconds_to_close": 178.937, "credit_skip_reason": null, "input_before_close": true }, { "scope": "last_grading_input_not_booked_entry", "market": { "phase": "FINAL", "no_ask": 1, "yes_ask": 97, "yes_bid": 99, "yes_mid": 98, "main_fair_yes": 82.97572898398326, "index_fair_yes": 100 }, "skills": [ { "id": "DRIFT.pullback_in_trend", "after": { "n": 364, "ev_n": 364, "hits": 355, "ev_sum": 548, "brier_n": 364, "brier_sum": 254.11460000000008 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 364, "ev_n": 364, "hits": 355, "ev_sum": 548, "brier_n": 364, "brier_sum": 254.11460000000008 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" }, { "id": "PULSE.vol_lag_5m", "after": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" } ], "source": "kalshi-result", "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT020645-45", "outcome": "UP", "version": "SKILL_SCORE_AUDIT_V1", "input_at": 1790937879523, "authority": "none", "build_sha": "80a35b16460c2b817221a07e2881294e449e0220", "graded_at": 1790937915543, "close_time": 1790937900000, "seconds_to_close": 20.477, "credit_skip_reason": null, "input_before_close": true }, { "scope": "last_grading_input_not_booked_entry", "market": { "phase": "FINAL", "no_ask": 1, "yes_ask": 96, "yes_bid": 99, "yes_mid": 97.5, "main_fair_yes": 95.40758613364576, "index_fair_yes": 100 }, "skills": [ { "id": "DRIFT.pullback_in_trend", "after": { "n": 364, "ev_n": 364, "hits": 355, "ev_sum": 548, "brier_n": 364, "brier_sum": 254.11460000000008 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 364, "ev_n": 364, "hits": 355, "ev_sum": 548, "brier_n": 364, "brier_sum": 254.11460000000008 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" }, { "id": "PULSE.vol_lag_5m", "after": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" } ], "source": "kalshi-result", "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT020630-30", "outcome": "UP", "version": "SKILL_SCORE_AUDIT_V1", "input_at": 1790936957708, "authority": "none", "build_sha": "80a35b16460c2b817221a07e2881294e449e0220", "graded_at": 1790937025592, "close_time": 1790937000000, "seconds_to_close": 42.292, "credit_skip_reason": null, "input_before_close": true }, { "scope": "last_grading_input_not_booked_entry", "market": { "phase": "FINAL", "no_ask": 96, "yes_ask": 4, "yes_bid": 4, "yes_mid": 4, "main_fair_yes": 45.206015967927115, "index_fair_yes": 4.4 }, "skills": [ { "id": "DRIFT.pullback_in_trend", "after": { "n": 364, "ev_n": 364, "hits": 355, "ev_sum": 548, "brier_n": 364, "brier_sum": 254.11460000000008 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 364, "ev_n": 364, "hits": 355, "ev_sum": 548, "brier_n": 364, "brier_sum": 254.11460000000008 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" }, { "id": "PULSE.vol_lag_5m", "after": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" } ], "source": "kalshi-result", "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT020615-15", "outcome": "DOWN", "version": "SKILL_SCORE_AUDIT_V1", "input_at": 1790936059214, "authority": "none", "build_sha": "80a35b16460c2b817221a07e2881294e449e0220", "graded_at": 1790936115237, "close_time": 1790936100000, "seconds_to_close": 40.786, "credit_skip_reason": null, "input_before_close": true }, { "scope": "last_grading_input_not_booked_entry", "market": { "phase": "FINAL", "no_ask": 1, "yes_ask": 98, "yes_bid": 99, "yes_mid": 98.5, "main_fair_yes": 85.1951804682244, "index_fair_yes": 100 }, "skills": [ { "id": "DRIFT.pullback_in_trend", "after": { "n": 364, "ev_n": 364, "hits": 355, "ev_sum": 548, "brier_n": 364, "brier_sum": 254.11460000000008 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 364, "ev_n": 364, "hits": 355, "ev_sum": 548, "brier_n": 364, "brier_sum": 254.11460000000008 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" }, { "id": "PULSE.vol_lag_5m", "after": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" } ], "source": "kalshi-result", "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT020600-00", "outcome": "UP", "version": "SKILL_SCORE_AUDIT_V1", "input_at": 1790935197755, "authority": "none", "build_sha": "80a35b16460c2b817221a07e2881294e449e0220", "graded_at": 1790935209990, "close_time": 1790935200000, "seconds_to_close": 2.245, "credit_skip_reason": null, "input_before_close": true }, { "scope": "last_grading_input_not_booked_entry", "market": { "phase": "MID", "no_ask": 2, "yes_ask": 98, "yes_bid": 98, "yes_mid": 98, "main_fair_yes": 97.61288472827592, "index_fair_yes": 99.9 }, "skills": [ { "id": "DRIFT.pullback_in_trend", "after": { "n": 364, "ev_n": 364, "hits": 355, "ev_sum": 548, "brier_n": 364, "brier_sum": 254.11460000000008 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 364, "ev_n": 364, "hits": 355, "ev_sum": 548, "brier_n": 364, "brier_sum": 254.11460000000008 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" }, { "id": "PULSE.vol_lag_5m", "after": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "check": "MATCH", "before": { "n": 51, "ev_n": 51, "hits": 51, "ev_sum": 122, "brier_n": 51, "brier_sum": 36.0391 }, "observations": [], "status_at_input": "SHADOW" } ], "source": "kalshi-result", "ticker": "KXBTC15M-26OCT020545-45", "outcome": "UP", "version": "SKILL_SCORE_AUDIT_V1", "input_at": 1790933928889, "authority": "none", "build_sha": "80a35b16460c2b817221a07e2881294e449e0220", "graded_at": 1790934332982, "close_time": 1790934300000, "seconds_to_close": 371.111, "credit_skip_reason": null, "input_before_close": true } ] }