Satoshi’s CouncilBITCOIN RESEARCH

STREAK (RUN)

Watches Kalshi’s official YES/NO results, not our spot vs strike. Live agreement is the YES book, not Bitcoin vs the strike. A hot streak can ride. A break ends it.

Directional Lean: 50 · NeutralNo qualifying directional read right now.Authority unverifiedFull meter Directional Lean shows research direction and intensity. It is not a probability and not a SATOSHI call.

No Chair row yet — research read only.
STREAK LIVE RUN
settled chips
0.2s
LIVElast 8 official Kalshi settles
DIRECTIONAL LEAN50 · Neutral
Authority unverifiedResearch read: NEUTRALStatus: SITStrength: 0Updated: 2026-10-02 12:09:49 UTC · feed 0.2sNo qualifying directional read right now.no continue/fade setup → WAIT
STREAK: Directional Lean 50 of 100, neutral, research read NEUTRAL. Sitting — no direction read.

Directional Lean shows research direction and intensity. It is not a probability and not a SATOSHI call.

Research lean
WAIT
Confidence
0
Average cents
—
0 graded legs
Calls
0
Calibration
0%
0/700 observations
Selected skill
SIT · SIT

Dotted underlines open definitions: hover, focus, or tap.

phase
mid · — left
hypothesis
streak 1 DOWN book UP
evidence
  • n 1
  • chips DOWN UP UP DOWN UP DOWN UP DOWN
  • yes agrees false
counter
none printed
decision
WAIT · 0 conf · no continue/fade setup → WAIT
invalidate if
YES book breaks the streak side
skill used
SIT
thresh
—
shadow / paper
shadow STREAK.live_break WAIT · shadow STREAK.alt_chop WAIT

Record

right 569/587 · 97% · Wilson floor 95%
avg -3.0¢ · 1703 calls · now WAIT
last twenty graded reads, green right, red wrong

Skills

  • continue_youngSHADOW1111/1111Young official streak still agreeing with the YES book?
  • fade_extendedSHADOW41/84Is the settled streak extended (≥5)?
  • mid_holdSHADOW66/66Streak of 4 still agreeing with the YES book?
  • live_breakSHADOW0/2Young official streak already broken by the YES book?
  • alt_chopSHADOWungradedLast four settled chips alternating?
  • yes_agreesSHADOW1188/1188Does YES mid confirm a young/mid streak?
  • rethink_1dstSHADOW107/107rethink after -1.8¢ avg — new eyes on STREAK.yes_agrees
  • rethink_c2ebSHADOW454/454rethink after -3.0¢ avg — new eyes on STREAK.yes_agrees
see it on the STRUCTURE desk

Every seat is graded on Kalshi's official settlement value after each 15-minute window, on paper. A read is right when the window finished on its side. Nothing here places a live trade. Not financial advice.

Open the floorSee the current decision and its supporting evidence.