ODDS (YES)

YES path this window, graded on the ask you would actually pay — not the midpoint. A smooth grind is information. A 20¢ rip in 60s is often a fade.

RETIREDThis seat no longer supports paper calls. Its historical record and paper research reads remain visible.

Directional Lean: 50 · NeutralNo qualifying directional read right now.Retired — research onlyFull meter Directional Lean shows research direction and intensity. It is not a probability and not a SATOSHI call.

No Chair row yet — research read only.
ODDS LIVE YES
YES¢ path
0.3s
LIVEYES ask vs 50¢
DIRECTIONAL LEAN50 · Neutral
Retired — research onlyResearch read: NEUTRALStatus: RETIREDStrength: 0Updated: 2026-10-02 12:09:25 UTC · feed 0.3sNo qualifying directional read right now.no value extreme → WAIT · retired from paper-call votes — cheap YES alone did not earn call authority · retired from paper-call votes — cheap YES alone did not earn call authority
ODDS: Directional Lean 50 of 100, neutral, research read NEUTRAL. Retired seat — research only.

Directional Lean shows research direction and intensity. It is not a probability and not a SATOSHI call.

Research lean
WAIT
Confidence
70
Average cents
—
0 graded legs
Calls
0
Calibration
0%
0/700 observations
Selected skill
SIT · SIT

Dotted underlines open definitions: hover, focus, or tap.

phase
mid · — left
hypothesis
YES ask 69¢ — not cheap/rich setup
evidence
  • YES 68.5¢ mid
  • bid 68 ask 69
counter
none printed
decision
WAIT · 70 conf · no value extreme → WAIT · retired from paper-call votes — cheap YES alone did not earn call authority · retired from paper-call votes — cheap YES alone did not earn call authority
invalidate if
YES ask ≤ 42¢ or ≥ 58¢ with quiet path
skill used
SIT
thresh
—
shadow / paper
none

Record

right 0/9 · 0% · Wilson floor 0%
avg -4.7¢ · 260 calls · now WAIT
last twenty graded reads, green right, red wrong

Skills

  • cheap_yesBENCHretired rule0/137Is YES cheap to *buy* (ask, not mid) and not still crashing?

Every seat is graded on Kalshi's official settlement value after each 15-minute window, on paper. A read is right when the window finished on its side. Nothing here places a live trade. Not financial advice.

Open the floorSee the current decision and its supporting evidence.