CHAIN (OI)
Open interest in both BTC and USD notional, over wall-clock minutes (3m / 10m / 1h). A dump has to show in coin and in dollars — price marking OI up is not new fuel. Timestamped 5-minute prints, not last-N polls.
Directional Lean: 21 · BearishDirectional research read — SATOSHI has not counted it.Authority unverifiedFull meter ↓ Directional Lean shows research direction and intensity. It is not a probability and not a SATOSHI call.
No Chair row yet — research read only.DIRECTIONAL LEAN21 · Bearish
Authority unverifiedResearch read: DOWNStatus: RESEARCH READCard: CHAIN.oi_with_priceStrength: 58Updated: 2026-10-02 12:09:41 UTC · feed 20.0sDirectional research read — SATOSHI has not counted it.dsl sign:ret15 · oi_with_px
CHAIN: Directional Lean 21 of 100, bearish, research read DOWN. Directional read on the frame. No Chair row yet, so SATOSHI has not aggregated it.Directional Lean shows research direction and intensity. It is not a probability and not a SATOSHI call.
- ○Research lean
- DOWN 40¢
- Confidence
- 58
- Average cents
- —
- 0 graded legs
- Calls
- 0
- Calibration
- 0%
- 0/700 observations
- Selected skill
- CHAIN.oi_with_price · LIVE
Dotted underlines open definitions: hover, focus, or tap.
hypothesis
dsl sign:ret15 · oi_with_px
decision
DOWN 40¢ · 58 conf · dsl sign:ret15 · oi_with_px
invalidate if
OI delta sign flips
skill used
CHAIN.oi_with_price · LIVE · n=1075 hits=1025 W=94%
shadow / paper
shadow CHAIN.oi_flush_sit WAIT
Record
right 318/466 · 68% · Wilson floor 64%
avg -1.1¢ · 2589 calls · now DOWN
last twenty graded reads, green right, red wrong
Skills
- oi_with_priceLIVE1025/1075Is OI building with price?
- oi_againstBENCH52/761Is OI building against price (divergence)?
- oi_accelSHADOW19/19Is the last 3m carrying most of the 10m OI move, with price?
- oi_stallSHADOW21/22Price moved but OI barely changed?
- oi_flush_sitSHADOW6/6OI dumping in both BTC and USD while 5m is quiet (de-risk, not a cascade)?
Every seat is graded on Kalshi's official settlement value after each 15-minute window, on paper. A read is right when the window finished on its side. Nothing here places a live trade. Not financial advice.
