CARRY (FR)
Perp funding on an 8-hour footing (a 1-hour venue is scaled ×8 so it is comparable). APR is that 8-hour rate × 3 × 365, display only. Basis is perpetual minus spot in bps — a premium with positive funding is crowded longs. History is one print per venue period.
Directional Lean: 50 · NeutralNo qualifying directional read right now.Authority unverifiedFull meter ↓ Directional Lean shows research direction and intensity. It is not a probability and not a SATOSHI call.
No Chair row yet — research read only.CARRY LIVE FR
funding + OI
20.0s
LIVE8h funding + OI + basis
DIRECTIONAL LEAN50 · Neutral
Authority unverifiedResearch read: NEUTRALStatus: SITStrength: 0Updated: 2026-10-02 12:09:41 UTC · feed 20.0sNo qualifying directional read right now.mild funding → WAIT
CARRY: Directional Lean 50 of 100, neutral, research read NEUTRAL. Sitting — no direction read.Directional Lean shows research direction and intensity. It is not a probability and not a SATOSHI call.
- ○Research lean
- WAIT
- Confidence
- 0
- Average cents
- —
- 0 graded legs
- Calls
- 0
- Calibration
- 0%
- 0/700 observations
- Selected skill
- SIT · SIT
Dotted underlines open definitions: hover, focus, or tap.
hypothesis
8h 0.0000783388346973 · APR 8.6% · basis -5.5bp extreme false
evidence
- persist FLAT
- normalize false
decision
WAIT · 0 conf · mild funding → WAIT
invalidate if
funding normalizes while OI still rising
Record
right 63/65 · 97% · Wilson floor 89%
avg +1.9¢ · 404 calls · now WAIT
last twenty graded reads, green right, red wrong
Skills
- persist_fadeSHADOWungradedExtreme funding persisting with rising OI?
- unwindSHADOWungradedExtreme funding still printed but OI is falling (unwind)?
- normalize_sitSHADOWungradedDid extreme funding just print back toward zero?
- trend_carrySHADOW179/188Moderate funding agreeing with ret15 while OI builds?
- flip_printSHADOWungradedDid the last funding print flip against a 3-print persist?
Every seat is graded on Kalshi's official settlement value after each 15-minute window, on paper. A read is right when the window finished on its side. Nothing here places a live trade. Not financial advice.
